Just how big is the Democratic wave going to be this fall?

If Arizona’s 8th District results are anything to go by, the coming Dem wave in the Midterms is going to be big, to very big.

Analysis by Chris Cillizza, CNN Editor-at-large:

If you’re wondering whether the 2018 midterm elections will be a Democratic wave, you’re asking the wrong question. The fall contests will undoubtedly be a national referendum on Donald Trump’s first two years in office and, if polling (and history) is to be believed, Democrats will reap the electoral rewards from the negative views of the President among a majority of the country.

The real question you should be asking yourself is how large will this wave be? Will it be small (15-20-seat Democratic pickup), medium (25-35-seat pickup) or large (35-plus-seat pickup)? (Reminder: Democrats need to net 23 seats to retake the House majority.)

Judging by what happened in an Arizona special election on Tuesday night, the “large” wave option now looks to be very much in play.

Read the whole thing …